2004 Revenue Expectations for ParkerVision
For the fourth quarter of 2004, we expect ParkerVision to report
revenue of $0.2 million to $0.3 million, with net income of approximately
($5.0 million), similar to what they reported for the third quarter
of 2004. Our discussions with sales channels in the WLAN consumer
product industry suggest that ParkerVision will not generate substantial
sales in the fourth quarter of 2004. More specifically, ParkerVision
does not sell much product in any of its distribution channels,
mainly because Linksys, Netgear, D-Link, and Belkin control the
market.
The WLAN market is so heavily dominated by these competitors that
an analyst from Wachovia Securities who covers Netgear said in
February 2005, “I didn't know ParkerVision competed in this
market. We visit electronics stores regularly, and have never seen
them on the shelves.” To draw the comparison, on the CompUSA
web site, for example, ParkerVision offers 3 wireless networking
products, compared to 43 from Linksys, 43 from D-Link, 35 from
Netgear, and 26 from Belkin. While ParkerVision sells 1 Router
and 2 Ethernet Cards on the CompUSA site, Linksys sells 8 Routers
and 19 Ethernet cards, in addition to 4 Access Points (Hubs), 4
Antennas, 2 Media Players, 3 Print Servers, 2 Kits, and 1 Wireless
Home Security product.
ParkerVision sells its 1 Router and 2 Ethernet Cards on its own
web site and on web sites like TigerDirect, Amazon, CompUSA, and
in retails stores such as CompUSA and Micro Center. In February
2004, we talked to several sales reps at both of these stores.
A sales rep from Micro Strategy said “I don’t believe
we carry anything by ParkerVision or SignalMax but let me check.” She
said they had the SignalMax Router and USB Adapter, but added, “I’ve
been here quite some time and I didn’t even know we sold
ParkerVision or SignalMax. I personally have never sold one. Most
people buy Netgear, Linksys, or D-link.” Similarly, a sales
rep at CompUSA said, “We don’t carry ParkerVision or
SignalMax. This is the first time I’ve heard anyone ask for
it. We mostly sell Netgear, Linksys, D-Link, and Belkin.”
Clearly, strong competition from Linksys, Netgear, D-Link, and
Belkin contributes to the lack of awareness (and sales) for ParkerVision’s
products. As ParkerVisions admits in its 2003 10-K, filed on March
15, 2004: “The wireless division operates in a highly competitive
industry. The Company's WLAN products compete with product offerings
from a number of companies with established brand recognition and
distribution channels. Some of these competitors offer their products
at prices similar to or lower than that of the Company's products.
The Company believes Linksys, Netgear and D-Link collectively account
for over 50% of the North American market for consumer wireless
networking products and Cisco, Symbol Technologies and Proxim/Orinoco
dominate the enterprise market for wireless networking products
in North America.”
ParkerVision began selling its first D2D-based products, a wireless
local area networking card for use in laptop computers and a wireless
USB adaptor for desktop computers, in the fourth quarter of 2003,
and later added a wireless four-port router with shipments beginning
in 2004. In 4Q 2003, ParkerVision generated revenues of $21,000
from its wireless products, mostly through its own newly developed
website and through TigerDirect.com, an Internet-based retailer
specializing in high tech electronic merchandise. ParkerVision
notes in its 2003 10-K that “the average selling price of
the wireless local area networking card was $75.50,” but
at the CompUSA web site and stores, ParkerVision’s SIGNALMAX
USB1500 Wireless USB Adapter sells for $79.99, SIGNALMAX USB1500
Wireless PC LAN Adapter sells for $79.99, and SIGNALMAX WR1500
4-Port Wireless DSL/Cable Router sells for $99.99.
In 2004, ParkerVision generated revenue of $0.1 million in 1Q
2004, $0.3 million in 2Q 2004, and $0.1 million in 3Q 2004, with
net income of ($5.4 million), ($2.0 million), ($5.0 million), respectively.
Projected annually, ParkerVision’s nine-month 2004 sales
of $516,000, amounts to roughly $700,000 for the entire year. If
ParkerVison matches in 4Q 2004 its revenue performance for the
first three quarters in 2004 combined, ParkerVision will record
revenues of $1 million for 2004. Based on our discussions with
sales channels, however, we expect ParkerVision to report revenue
of $0.2 million to $0.3 million for 4Q 2004 and annual sales of
no more than $0.8 million for 2004. |